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Gen. Sarath Fonseka has, in an interview with a Sunday newspaper, said his policies and those of the JVP are vastly different and admitted that their relations are at a low ebb. What one gathers from this statement and the JVP`s apathetic reaction to his release besides some utterances by its heavyweights like Lal Kantha during the past few days, is that the JVP and Fonseka are bound to part company sooner or later. Their actions and reactions are indicative of a political decree nisi, and a decree absolute looks only a matter of time-so to speak.
In the run-up to the 2010 presidential election, Gen. Fonseka had difficulty in dovetailing his agenda with those of all other parties, save one, in a disparate coalition he cobbled together within a matter of weeks. He managed to keep his alliance consisting of diehard capitalists and dyed-in-the-wool Marxists together till the presidential contest, but it fell apart shortly afterwards. Ideologically, he saw eye to eye only with the UNP, which has unfortunately chosen to give him the cold shoulder after his release.
The question is why the JVP, the UNP and the TNA unanimously agreed to field Gen. Fonseka as their common presidential candidate in spite of their irreconcilable ideological differences? All of them needed someone who could match President Rajapaksa`s much flaunted patriotic credentials as their leaders did not fit the bill at all. Caught in a political whirlpool, the JVP desperately needed something to clutch at to remain afloat and to take revenge from President Rajapaksa, who had engineered defections from its ranks. The TNA used Fonseka as a wedge to create a split in the triumphant Rajapaksa camp, and succeeded in its endeavour. The UNP leaders were looking for an outsider not to win but to lose the presidential contest. Fonseka became its choice.
When Gen. Fonseka lost the presidential election, JVP leader Somawansa Amerasinghe attributed his defeat to a computer jilmaat or fraud. But, strangely, that much publicised allegation did not find its way into Fonseka`s election petition! The leaders of Fonseka`s grand alliance including Ranil Wickremesinghe claimed President Rajapaksa had won fraudulently and hailed Fonseka as the people`s choice. Today, Amerasinghe and Wickremesinghe have ditched the man they called the People`s President in public!
It is not possible for the UNP rebels to bring Gen. Fonseka in without the concurrence of the party`s Working Committee, which is solidly behind the incumbent leadership. There is no room for a third force to emerge as an alternative to the ruling UPFA. It is either the SLFP or the UNP or coalitions led by them that are capable of forming governments.
So, the daunting task before Gen. Fonseka, left to fend for himself, is to establish a bridgehead in national politics before embarking on his ambitious mission to unify and strengthen the Opposition in the doldrums. He has formed a new political party and sought its registration with the Elections Commissioner, we are told. All such political parties have ended up as mere appendages of the two main parties whether one likes it or not. Chandrika Bandaranaike Kumaratunga, after leaving the SLFP with her late husband Vijaya, co-founded two parties, the Sri Lanka Mahajana Party (SLMP) and the Bahujana Nidahas Peramuna (BNP), but eventually she had to return to the SLFP, to gain political traction and make it to the top.
Gen. Fonseka is likely to receive a full presidential pardon restoring his right to contest elections. President Rajapaksa will consider that option for two reasons. First, he knows his refusal to restore his arch rival`s civic rights fully will be seen as a sign of weakness. He does not want to be shown in a bad light. Second, he apparently thinks Fonseka will be more problematic to the Opposition than to the government. He must be waiting till the JVP and the UNP sever their ties with Fonseka once and for all to sign a full presidential pardon.
Gen. Fonseka is a brilliant military strategist and indefatigable campaigner. But, whether he will make much headway in the dirty game of politics, where all odds are apparently stacked against him at present, remains to be seen. The success of his political journey hinges on his ability to gain a foothold in the UNP or to form and lead a grand opposition alliance once again. Both these options look remote possibilities. There`s the rub.
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velu
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 183
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 31 May 2012 23:43:47 GMT Report for Abuse
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| While they all are some what responsible for the General's fall, they all clamored for his release. |
RSunil
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 262
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 1 Jun 2012 01:37:33 GMT Report for Abuse
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| He should join Sajit and Karu. The threesome can then keep dancing away to keep the people entertained with Sirasa and Maithri Gunaratne providing the music. I am sure MR will be very supportive and may even consider a quicker pardon. |
Magnum357
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 2388
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1 Jun 2012 02:31:49 GMT Report for Abuse
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Gen. Fonseka is likely to receive a full presidential pardon restoring his right to contest elections. President Rajapaksa will consider that option for two reasons
Whatever those reasons there are two scenarios behind the 'main scene'!
FIRSTLY, still seemingly, there is no 'official pardon' granted to SF, except a letter given to the Prisons Chief by MR ordering that SF be released. So much for the euphoria!
So that at anytime the President could give a similar letter to the IGP ordering him to arrest SF and put him back in Prison.
SECONDLY, there is still the 'harbouring army deserters' case pending against SF in the High Court. SF is currently out on bail in that case. SF has not been convicted in that case to receive a pardon and neither has that case been withdrawn by the AG eventhough SF has withdrawn the appeal filed by him against his conviction in the white flag case. So what MR apparently has done is let SF out with strings (maybe chains!) attached!
It's very likely MR will manipulate the AG's dept to softpeddle the 'army deserters' case until MR feels threatend by SF's activity when we'll see the AG pressing the peddle to the metal in that case.
The moment MR feels SF should be locked up, MR will sure pull those 'strings'(or chains) and SF will be at square one again!
Lets wait and see!
Edited By - Magnum357 - 1 Jun 2012 02:39:26 GMT |
erwerpom
Joined: Jun 2012
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 2 Jun 2012 12:36:56 GMT Report for Abuse
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