Troops reach outer LTTE defences of Nachchikudha

  • 21 Aug 2008 20:47:27 GMT

    Last breather to Indian Connection.

  • 21 Aug 2008 20:49:25 GMT

    [DBS Jeyaraj

    [There is an orchestrated propaganda effort that has brought about great expectations in the public mood.

    There is euphoria that the tigers are on the run and that the LTTE is collapsing like a pack of cards.

    The liberation of Kilinochchi and Mullaitheevu and parts of the Vavuniya, Mannar and Jaffna districts under LTTE do not seem a remote possibility in the popular psyche any more.

    The seeming inability of the tigers in stopping the military juggernaut adds credence to the belief that the beginning of the LTTE s end is underway.

    However dominant public perception fails to take note of a crucial factor that has often been asserted by this writer in these columns.

    The tigers may be down but they are certainly not out .

    While the armed forces are certainly on the ascendant and could ultimately come out on top through superior manpower, firepower, armoured power, airpower and sea power, the LTTE cannot be written off as a spent force prematurely.

    As mentioned in these columns earlier the LTTE set up three broad defence rings in the northern territory it controlled.

    The first was around all area dominated by the tigers.

    The second was around all areas to the east of the A 9 highway.

    The third was around a swathe of strategically important areas in Mullaitheevu including a coastal strip.

    Most of the fighting so far has been in and around the first ring of defence.

    Apart from hostilities in the Manal aaru/ Weli Oya region there has been no fighting in the comparatively important regions to the east of the A 9.

    The armed forces have certainly progressed in the fighting in regions to the west of the A 9. Yet the fighting is neither conclusive or decisive.

    Also despite several attempts the army has been unable to break LTTE lines set up to the south of Muhamaalai in the Jaffna peninsula.

    Besides the fighting has been protracted and bitter. Although the LTTE has come off second best in these clashes there are three salient ponts to be noted.

    Firstly the tigers have not lost much of their military assets in spite of the reversals and withdrawals. Retreating tigers have transported most of their vehicles, boats, artillery and armaments to safer locations.

    Secondly the tigers have deployed only about a 40 % of their cadres in the fighting so far. The bulk of these have been new recruits and raw conscripts. The ratio of senior to junior cadres in the fighting has been roughly 25% to 75%

    Thirdly the cream of the LTTE like its special forces, the leopard commando unit, the elite brigades of the Charles Anthony regiment etc have not been utilised extensively.

    Thus it could be surmised that despite the losses suffered the LTTE continues to retain the bulk of its military assets , experienced cadre and elite fighting formations.

    In that context the LTTE remains a potent and powerful force still.

    What is of crucial importance is the fact that the LTTE has been fighting a defensive war so far.

    It is a moot point as to when and if the LTTE would change track and go on the offensive.

    It may be that the armed forces by applying constant military pressure are constricting the LTTE s ability to launch a counter strike or counter offensive.

    It may also be that the tiger leader Velupillai Prabakharan is working to his own agenda and is biding his time before striking out.

    The acid test will be when the LTTE does strike out.

    It is only then that the question of whether the LTTE is a spent force or not would be decided effectively.

    The tiger will not eat grass even if it is hungry.

    The tiger crouches only to pounce.

    These are proverbs in Tamil about the four legged feline.

    This proverbial wisdom applies in a politico military sense to the two legged tigers also.

    Meanwhile the time for a tiger pounce draws near.

    All things being constant it is only a matter of time before the armed forces would reach Pooneryn or the A 9 road.

    If that happens the war would be carried right into the tiger heartland . It would also mean restriction of supplies and greater vulnerability for the tiger hierarchy.

    Cruel military logic suggests that the LTTE would launch pre- emptive strikes before that.

    Instead of waiting for war to come to him Prabakharan is very likely to take the fight to the enemy.

    It could be a counter offensive like Oyatha Alaigal or ceaseless waves in 1999 -2000.

    It could also mean extending the war through dubious means to the South.

    What happens if these things do happen?

    Would the armed forces be able to counter these challenges and defeat the LTTE?

    Would the tigers be able to inflict extensive damage and reverse the situation?

    Only time will tell!]]

  • 21 Aug 2008 20:51:26 GMT

    [Troops reach outer LTTE defences of Nachchikudha ]

    Nachchikudah is a toilet(c) TigerForce.

  • 21 Aug 2008 20:52:39 GMT

    How about I take $10,000 out of Mr. Brown`s bank account and give it to Revy?

    Would Revy like it?

    Would Mr. Brown like it?

    It is like Revy and Bruce Fein asking to conduct a `referendum` on North and East!

  • 21 Aug 2008 20:53:06 GMT

    [Troops reach outer LTTE defences of Nachchikudha]

    the mighty LTTE will tactically withdraw in preparation to deploy most powerful WMD soon (c) Eeeelamaya.

  • 21 Aug 2008 20:53:59 GMT

    NaalaThambi

    You are absolutely correct troops are no where near Killinchchi.

    This is just to fool singlecelles

    Be happy and enjoy your Pork pie my son.

  • 21 Aug 2008 20:57:31 GMT

    [Troops reach outer LTTE defences of Nachchikudha]

    outer defences are killing tamils (c) chennai.

  • 21 Aug 2008 21:01:36 GMT

    Udawatte

    I was there to provide sarong to those sla guys to escape LTTE on onslaught , the history will repeat !every day few tamils are getting killed for sinhala political gain - the barbarism should come to an end .

  • 21 Aug 2008 21:14:48 GMT

    SLIPPERY SLOPE OF EEEEELAM

    Office of World Tamil Organisation raided in Canada ------- EU freezes LTTE assetts-------Bala dies ----------.Indian fisherman killed by LTTE ---------Lost Sampur--------- US agents caught----------. Lost Mavil Aru -------- Lost Varakai-------- Lost 3 ships--------Toppigala falls ----------Britain arrests LTTE leaders ----------Whole of Eastern province falls ------- France arrests LTTErs---------Tamil TV station off air -----------Soosai is injurred and infighting of leadership----------.Silvathura falls----------KP arrested -----------3 more ships blasted ----------Tamilselvam killed Madu falls .. Charles Killed .. Balraj dies Selvi killed . .. Parts of Adampan falls .. WTM in Canada outlawed .. .. Italy arrests LTTErs .. 5000 Tigers killed .. 54 base falls ...Manner falls ... SLA enters Killinochchi district . .Munagam, Sugandan, Micheal, .Jeevan bases fall .. Nechchikudah now at sight

    BYE BYE---------- EEEELAM

  • 21 Aug 2008 21:15:55 GMT

    Thambi and most of other LTTE terorist supporters are desparate now. Wanni will fall to army in near future. But it may not may be in a week. That is a chanda gundu.