Snatching power in the expense of public security - Opposition`s recreant political games

  • 20 Jun 2007 04:30:27 GMT

    [CBK will elect her henchman as the next president of Sri lanka. Ranil would be the next opposition leader (for life)]

    Ohhh come on Pera.. Why you say CBK will appont her henchman as next president. I thought MR has AT LEAST ONE more term? thats another 11 years. Why you give up on MR soo soon??? :) :)

  • 20 Jun 2007 04:34:19 GMT

    [Ohhh come on Pera.. Why you say CBK will appont her henchman as next president. I thought MR has AT LEAST ONE more term? thats another 11 years. Why you give up on MR soo soon??? :) :)]

    comming colours no good anizam :)

    PERA

  • 20 Jun 2007 04:40:36 GMT

    GOSL has come to face there real Opposition these days.

    Clearing east from LTTE and restoring public security and bringing things to normal is scathing UNP,TNL.Also JVP is now a abandoned set with no clear principals.

    Gota has proving his position beyond any question by bringing responsibilities of all forces to gather and giving them freedom to handle LTTE.

    Though MR lack ability to accumulate Economy soundly,politically GOSL has managed to get the majority.

    But GOSL have to bring in most waited proposals to bring political ground work in east and north,which will be the needful to satisfy IC.

  • 20 Jun 2007 04:46:01 GMT

    Pera - dont worry.. This is my PREDICTION. Tell me what you think...

    1. UNP - SLFP (M) form alliance

    2. UNP/SLFP(M) will take control of Local Govt bodies and Provincial councils, one by one.

    3. Many SLFP MPs cross over to UNP/SLFP(M)

    4. Parliament Dissolved and General elections called.

    5. UNP/SLFP(M) win and form govt.

    6. MR is kicked out in Marcos style.

    7. RW and CBK fight for power and kill each other

    8. People get totally fed up and EVENTUALLY JVP takes control of govt...

    As much as i would like to see UNP back in power, i dont think anyone who forms an alliance with the JVP or CBK will survive for long!! Both are King and Queen of Destruction, respectively.

    EIther way i see a very bleak future. Good news is SL politics will always be very very interesting thanks to the likes of MR, JVP, RW, CBK, Mangala and Sun Goat. SO you and I will always have LNP to come and waste our time!! :) :)

    What you say???

  • 20 Jun 2007 04:48:27 GMT

    [Pera - dont worry.. This is my PREDICTION. Tell me what you think...] OK, I will

    [1. UNP - SLFP (M) form alliance ]

    MR will do some `gal anda tactics` to thaw away the initial support. Remeber all the CBK type Ministers in SLFP has big files regarding their corruption :) So whatever the stuff SLFP(M) has won`t delever much to UNP.

    [2. UNP/SLFP(M) will take control of Local Govt bodies and Provincial councils, one by one. ]

    Perhaps UNP and SLFP(M) members will fight with each other. Remember if someone joins ruling party, the president has some bribes to offer such as portfolios. However when someone form ruling party joins opposition, Ranil has nothing to offer but hostile local UNP politicians mad about their Manape votes.

    [3. Many SLFP MPs cross over to UNP/SLFP(M) ]

    less than 10 for sure. Even those who cross will be busy with their bribary cases, no time for politics :)

    [4. Parliament Dissolved and General elections called.

    5. UNP/SLFP(M) win and form govt. ]

    no way

    [6. RW and CBK fight for power and kill each other ]

    yes, this will happen while they are still in the opposition !

    [7. People get totally fed up and EVENTUALLY JVP takes control of govt... ]

    JVP can ONLY be a pressure group. I know for a fact that JVP hirachy is really scared of their members getting corrupted. They will NEVER for a government!

    [As much as i would like to see UNP back in power, i dont think anyone who forms an alliance with the JVP or CBK will survive for long!! Both are King and Queen of Destruction, respectively. ]

    exactly, on top of that Mangala BLINDLY follow CBK. So the alliance will be blasted to bits while they are still in the opposition

    [EIther way i see a very bleak future. Good news is SL politics will always be very very interesting thanks to the likes of MR, JVP, RW, CBK and Mangala. SO you and will always have LNP to come and waste our time!! :) :)

    What you say???

    ]

    now I agree with you 100! on that remark :)

    Cheers

    PERA

  • 20 Jun 2007 04:57:19 GMT

    [6. MR is kicked out in Marcos style. ]

    This is not easy. MR can dissolve the parliament after one year.

    MR can be chased out only by an impeachment motion. It was failed against Premadasa.

  • 20 Jun 2007 05:11:43 GMT

    I too agree with Roshan.

    Unless if someone (probably MI6) deside to bump off MR, (just like what happend to Premadasa) is is not easy to get rid of our mahinda mama :)

    PERA

  • 20 Jun 2007 05:36:46 GMT

    Pera,

    Interesting predictions and counter predictions. I have saved them as `favourites. I have some reservations and will compare notes in time to come.

    However, what I don`t understand is that why Defense.lk which should be concentrating on WAR related issues and leave the dirty politics to the political parties is getting involved in.

    [The latest appeal to have a Parliamentary Select Committee on the Defense Secretary blows the whistle that it is high time that a Parliamentary Select Committee be appointed to investigate the UNP and its activities in the good name of Sri Lanka and her people.]

    As an opposition or as an elected M.P., every one has a right to ask for a probe on anything they feel is required for the people to know. Why the voice of the security forces get involved in that and shy should they protest against a democratic right of any M.P.?

    It`s a bad precedence and not a healthy one for the future of the country.

    As a result, one thing I too agree with Anizam is that:

    [EIther way i see a very bleak future. Good news is SL politics will always be very very interesting thanks to the likes of MR, JVP, RW, CBK and Mangala. SO you and will always have LNP to come and waste our time!!]

    Cheers

    Kula

  • 20 Jun 2007 06:11:55 GMT

    Kula,

    [As an opposition or as an elected M.P., every one has a right to ask for a probe on anything they feel is required for the people to know. Why the voice of the security forces get involved in that and shy should they protest against a democratic right of any M.P.? ]

    Yes, I agree with you. Things are getting out of hand. Politicizing military and police is the biggest threat to our democracy.

    We both agree with Anizam`s last piece too:)

    You know, it is not the people who deside the future coalitions in SL politics. Money of tycoons like HarryJ, Thilanga Sumathipala etc etc. So the outcome depends on how Mahinda is going to tackle the financial backers of CBK/Mangla group.

    What do you think?

    Cheers

    PERA

  • 20 Jun 2007 06:53:55 GMT

    Pera,

    I too do not think that MR`s immediate future is at stake.

    Knowing a little about Ranil, I would believe that even though he would make a lot of noise about the Govt resigning etc., he would not want an election now. His strategy would be to leave it till the due time as he thinks that MR`s Govt. would do enough damage to themselves. He would wait till the rural masses get fed up. It`s a gamble.

    He also would not leave room for MR to sack him if he wins the Parliamentary elections.

    Both UNP defectors and Managala should realize that our voters still, by and large vote for the party and not for individuals when it comes to Parliamentary elections. Managala`s action is a prelude to CBK`s arrival. However, my take is that CBK and Anura are spent forces and it is not going to make a big difference.

    As you rightly said, a lot depend on what are the new alliances that are going to be formed. Harry J will always be with CBK and it all depends whether she really intends getting back to politics. Similarly Sumathipala will always be with SB. I have my doubts whether CBK really wants to get back to politics particularly if forming a party away from SLFP. But nothing is impossible now that she has settled Yasodra and its SLFP(M or J) whatever its going to be partcularly knowns. It can even be SLFP ( Banda).

    To be honest, right now, it`s a real achcharu and I have no clue. The next few months how the WAR progresses and economy performs would decide the future direction of our country`s politics.

    I am expecting a bloody July/August and things to settle down by the end of the year. If MR does not manage his family, I think he will have more disgruntled SLFP`ers and if CBK comes back to politics, her target would be them.

    MR`s biggest problem will not be internal but external - pressure from the IC.

    In a nutshell, unpredictable and we have to wait and see!

    Cheers,

    Kula