Tamil people all over the world got tired by looking for much anticipated counter attack on Sinhala forces. Tigers are now facing combined Sinhala and
Indian forces in Vanni. So, there is a remote possibility that Tigers ever achieve a long-lasting military victory as they did in the previous occasions.
Indians are pouring billions of dollars in Sinhala fighting machine. They train Sinhala forces, supply arms, give technical assistance, and provide intelligence. Even if,
LTTE blows up 10 MiGs in a night, next day India will supply aircrafts and pilots. Even if, LTTE destroy whole battalion of battle tanks, India will ship tanks with crews.
LTTE`s strategy was to inflict heavy economic and military losses to Sinhalese through well coordinated attacks. Then, it expected Sinhala government would kneel down for a ceasefire. But, this time India heavily involve in the fighting with LTTE. There are hundreds of Indian military officials directly participating in the fighting.
The reason bankrupt Sinhala government could manage 200, 000 personnel strength armed forces and sustain continual military operation is financial support from India. Without direct support of India, Sinhala government could not keep up this war more than one month.
So, all Tamil people must understand one thing - the war, LTTE facing right now is MUCH different from any other they encountered before. A regional superpower is directly involving in fighting.
How a 15, 000 or less LTTE cadres could manage Indian and Sri Lankan armed forces at same time?
LTTE did not expect this. That is for sure!