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Expect LTTE to change tactics
Sunday, 4 January 2009 - 10:19 PM SL Time
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All major political parties remained silent on Friday, when Kilinochchi fell to the Sri Lankan Army, while some smaller outfits reacted with a sense of resignation.
With the defeat of the LTTE at Kilinochchi, pro-Eelam and anti-war outfits now say that other methods of struggle will be adopted.
Kilinochchi was the last stronghold of the LTTE and it is widely perceived that the fall of this town marks the defeat of the LTTE. In the recent past, some political outfits and intellectuals in Tamil Nadu had expressed support for a separate Tamil Eelam in Sri Lanka and urged the Indian Government to intervene in this matter and stop the war and prevent the killing of innocent Tamils in the island nation.
According to D Pandian, the Tamil Nadu state secretary of CPI, which has been urging the Indian Government for intervention, the war will not end with the fall of Kilinochchi. The Sri Lankan Army may have overrun Kilinochchi but we have to wait for a reaction from the LTTE and the Sri Lankan Government. I don t think the war will end with this. Other forms of struggle will be adopted and the battlegrounds will shift, he said.
P Nedumaran, leader of the Tamil Nationalist Movement, the most prominent pro- Eelam and pro-LTTE voice in Tamil Nadu, said, Kilinochchi was already a ghost town, no one lived there. So the Sri Lankan Army cannot claim a big victory.
War will now engulf Sri Lanka and move to other parts, he noted.
Dravida Kazhagam, the ideologicaal front of Dravidian parties which has been actively espousing the Eelam cause refused to comment, with K Veeramani, the organisation s chief saying, The reports that are coming are based on the Sri Lankan Army s version of events. We will not react until we get a confirmed report that Kilinochchi has fallen. Thyagu of Tamilar movement who has been giving speeches in favour of a separate Eelam, says, As always this has been India s betrayal.
This is a war where winning and losing are common. It is just another event, a small setback. One may lose battlefields but that doesn t mean the war is lost. If the LTTE is not able to win this way, they will change their tactics.
There are also other ways to fight. He said despite the defeat, his organisation would continue to espouse the cause of the LTTE. We will continue to support the Eelam and the LTTE and we will keep working to lift the ban on LTTE. When Manmohan Singh visits Chennai on January 8, we will hold a black flag protest, he said.
Poet Inqualaab who has been supporting the Eelam cause and is part of a larger network of poets and writers who support the Sri Lankan Tamil cause agrees with Thyagu, saying, LTTE spokesperson Natesan has said even if Kilinochi is lost, the struggle will continue. Freedom struggles do not die down that easily and one cannot think that the war is over. Chennai-based Sri Lanka observer N Sathiyamoorthy of the Observer Research Foundation agrees broadly with the view of Eelam supporters that the war will take on other forms. LTTE may resort to guerilla warfare now as Kilinochi has fallen, but one cannot rule out the capability of the Sri Lankan Army for search and destroy operations, he felt.
But he cautions that if recent indications are anything to go by, the capability of LTTE may be severely limited. Going by the Indian Army s assessment and what is happening on the ground in Kilinochi, it appears that the LTTE s stockpile of weapons is gone, which would severely limit their capability to carry out suicide strikes in urban areas. It was said that there was a large stockpile in Kilinochchi to protect Prabhakaran, about three years ago, but the weapons may have passed their expiry dates with no replenishments. He also says that the fall of the LTTE is unlikely to have an impact on Tamil Nadu politics, pointing to the current campaigns in Thirumangalam by different parties, which are devoid of any mention of the issue.
In Tamil Nadu itself the issue could have had an impact if the war had peaked around election time. But now it will not have any impact. Even in the Thirumangalam campaigns, no one is talking about the war. Sri Lankan Tamils may not be in danger if the Sri Lankan Army wins. According to him, there is no reason to believe that the Sri Lankan Army victory will lead to anti-Tamil violence as in 1983. The violence against Tamils over the last two to three years has been between various Tamil groups. There is no reason at this time to suspect Rajapakse s intentions.
One has to wait and watch the package that Tamils will get. Pandian says, ultimately it will only be a political solution that will work. According to Sathiyamoorthy, political solution may become easier after the LTTE is gone.
Chandrika Kumaratunga also tried to get past the LTTE to find a solution but was not successful. Now if the LTTE is defeated, a political solution may be possible. Janata Party president Subramanian Swamy agrees, It is a good development since LTTE is part of the problem and not part of the solution. Finishing them will only be the first priority. It should be accompanied by devolution package for the Tamils, which the Sri Lankan Government has promised the international community. VCK leader Thirumavalavan who last week declared recognition for Eelam as a separate nation, could not be reached for comment.
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Dewey
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 4 Jan 2009 16:25:43 GMT Report for Abuse
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CNN just flashed that there was another suicide blast in colombo.
Well LTTE already changed their tactics from attacking to running. :)
Edited By - Dewey - 4 Jan 2009 16:26:41 GMT |
Dewey
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4 Jan 2009 16:29:56 GMT Report for Abuse
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On the bottom of screen it said 'second suicide blast to happen in 24 hrs in colombo'.
I dont see it anywhere else though. |
akshe
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4 Jan 2009 16:30:59 GMT Report for Abuse
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| Change in tactics??? funny. only option is to surrender to SLA thats all if not,, all LTTE can see the eellam in hell. |
UpulJ
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 4 Jan 2009 16:31:34 GMT Report for Abuse
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Tactics may change but how far can tigers sustain SLA onslaught in the North...As Nadesan said commercial targets may be taken with suicide bombing...:-)
Edited By - UpulJ - 4 Jan 2009 16:32:07 GMT |
andyprem
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4 Jan 2009 16:37:12 GMT Report for Abuse
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Dewy ..
I see the same thing too .I think most of the programs on sunday are reruns and reruns form yesterday . |
piranha
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4 Jan 2009 16:42:34 GMT Report for Abuse
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Let's hope it didn't happen.
Not another blast
Many more blasts to come, not only in Colombo but other parts of the South too in the coming days, weeks and months.
VP warned you! |
UpulJ
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4 Jan 2009 16:49:14 GMT Report for Abuse
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Piranha
Tigers will be banned tomorrow and I would say VP was warned about the consequences.VP and his thugs do have very few square kilometers to run around if time permits...lol... |
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4 Jan 2009 16:28:38 GMT