A couple of days ago, I saw an article written by a guy named Arush. His analysis was later followed up in several pro-LTTE media, igniting hope for the LTTE's military campaign. One of the central points of that article was that LTTE hierarchy is allowing the spreading of SLDFs over larger area so that tigers can penetrate through a few weak points in the Army defenses. Unfortunately for the cats, this is highly unlikely to happen. Several reasons for this:
1. Unlike the previous Eelam wars, our battle planners are putting a lot of effort on 'defense in depth'.
2. The above has been facilitated by force multiplying effects of the SF units, MBRL-ARti units and the armor units (all of which that LTTE lack - LTTE has SF units are not directly compared to our men).
3. LRRP units working in deep-enemy space (these units are now in the Mullativu jungles!). These does not allow the tigers to concentrate cadres for a major assault against us (SLAF, MBRL attacks can be called in by these units as well).
4. Two of the most coveted armored units have not been unleashed as yet (Because of their high mobility and firepower, these units can effectively be used to cover a large open area) and also they can be used to breach the Tiger FDL by using techniques like attacking on a center of gravity. These units can also be made to do 'thunder runs' into and out of the Northern Mullativu area, unsettling the cats greatly.
5. Influx of newly trained divisions for both defensive and offensive roles.
6. force multiplier effect of the Navy and SLAF units.
7. Shrinking of the tiger FDL. This gives us a smaller effective area to concentrate on.
DW |
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