ANALYSTS SAY THAT IF RECENT BEHAVIOUR IS ANYTHING TO GO BY, GALLE OR KANDY RATHER THAN JAFFNA OR TRINCOMALEE ARE GOING TO BE THE DISTRICTS WHERE THE NEXT BIG BATTLES ARE GOING TO BE FOUGHT IN.
LTTE knows that only attacks on military and economic centres right in the heart of the Sinhala region would bring any political solution.
'If LTTE captures Jaffna, the military would go for Kilinochchi. If LTTE captures Trincomalee, the military would go for Mulaiteevu. This is what has happened over the past 25 years, and now clearly the LTTE wants to change the pattern.
'After the LTTE attacked Kattunayake they came for peace talks. The hope it seems is that the selected targeting of centres of military and economic importance would finally force the Sri Lankan government to accept the Tamil people's right to self determination.'
October witnessed three such attacks in Hambantota and Anuradhapura respectively.