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Jolyroger
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LK Information  7 May 2010 16:18:22 GMT  Report for Abuse  
COIN Lessons From Sri Lanka for the West

This month marks the first anniversary of the defeat of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), which was vanquished by the Sri Lankan military in one of the most extraordinary counterinsurgency (COIN) campaigns in modern history. Though detractors of Sri Lanka's COIN success erroneously argue there is nothing for the West to learn, the evidence suggests there are some valuable lessons from Sri Lanka's experience for the West's involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Sri Lanka's strategy evolved after nearly 26 years of confrontation with Tamil militants, in what was essentially an intercommunal secessionist civil war to establish an ethnic-Tamil state, termed Tamil Eelam. In the final phase of the conflict from 2006 to 2009, Sri Lanka fashioned a COIN strategy that defeated one of the most formidable and sophisticated insurgent-terrorist organizations in the world.

The LTTE was a transnational terrorist organization able to raise a well-equipped guerrilla army, create a large fleet of boats for its maritime wing, and develop a dedicated air wing using improvised light-aircraft in raids and suicide attacks.

The advent of pragmatic and decisive Sri Lankan political leadership in 2005, which led to major military command changes, created the environment Sri Lanka's COIN success. The military was given a larger budget and unprecedented freedom to expand, reorganize, transform and adopt new doctrinal concepts.

One critical step was obtaining international support, especially from neighbors. Sri Lanka succeeded in banning the LTTE in the European Union and Canada in 2006 and readily acquired the political, financial and logistical support of key countries, particularly India and China.

In addition, relations with other neighboring countries, namely Pakistan, Maldives, Malaysia and Indonesia, were strengthened. By securing widespread regional support, Sri Lanka streamlined intelligence-sharing, which was followed by a security crackdown on LTTE cells, smuggling and procurement operations, a much different situation than currently faced by the allies, especially in Afghanistan.

As a result, the LTTE was increasingly constrained by the infiltration of its overseas network and the interception of its sea lines of communication, which deprived it of much needed supplies and equipment. Sri Lanka mobilized all of the state's resources and maintained sustained pressure against the LTTE, defeating the organization in less than three years.

In Iraq, the United States is not only engaged in combating Sunni and Shia insurgents but is attempting to mediate serious ethnic, religious and social tensions among the Kurdish, Sunni and Shia populations. In Afghanistan, ethnic, religious and social tensions are also apparent, but the U.S. coalition is essentially focused on confronting a Taliban-led ethnic-Pashtun insurgency.

Similarly, the geopolitical complexity and vastness of Iraq and Afghanistan, both of which intersect with six countries, make the task of sealing borders, as Sri Lanka did, extremely challenging.


Edited By - Jolyroger - 7 May 2010 16:20:13 GMT
Jolyroger
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LK Information  7 May 2010 16:21:08 GMT  Report for Abuse  
For example, in Iraq, the United States has strained relations with Syria and Iran, and the U.S. government has alleged that both countries have provided safe havens, training, financial and material assistance to insurgents. Whereas in Afghanistan, in addition to tense relations with Iran in this theater, the U.S. coalition has been unable to cut off and destroy the safe havens for insurgents along the Afghanistan-Pakistan border.

The size of the countries also is a factor, as Iraq and Afghanistan have estimated land areas of 437,000 square kilometers and 647,000 square kilometers, respectively, while the Sri Lankan military operated in an estimated land area of 64,000 square kilometers.

Total military strength deployed also is an issue, as the Sri Lankan military had nearly 300,000 combatants (excluding auxiliaries) when the LTTE was defeated in 2009. The U.S. coalition has deployed approximately 83,000 troops in Iraq and 102,000 troops in Afghanistan, a combined figure still far below what the Sri Lankan military employed.

Furthermore, while the United States made the crucial strategic error of disbanding the Iraqi Army, the Sri Lankan government induced a prominent faction of the LTTE to defect and join the political mainstream, reducing the strength of the LTTE by around 40 percent.

This breakaway group provided valuable intelligence and engaged in irregular operations against the LTTE, playing a critical role in the outcome of the campaign.

What Sri Lanka's COIN experience has demonstrated, then, is the importance of obtaining the support of all neighboring countries to secure their borders, intercept insurgent cells and cooperate in regular intelligence-sharing mobilizing domestic public support to accept potentially heavy casualties in order to achieve long-term objectives ensuring that adequate troop strength is available by considerably expanding the size of the military understanding the importance of inducing foes into the political mainstream and maintaining the operational initiative on multiple fronts to deprive insurgents of opportunities to regroup.

Clearly, the fundamentals of Sri Lanka's strategy demonstrated the principles and commitment needed to successfully prosecute a COIN campaign, and offers an example that could be of interest to the West.
Jolyroger
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LK Information  7 May 2010 16:46:39 GMT  Report for Abuse  
WAR IN THE INDIAN OCEAN, 1939-1945

As a consultant Producer for ABC Radio National, I produced a 54 minute radio documentary based on the fascinating stories of five Australian servicemen who served in the Indian Ocean Region during World War II. An important aspect of this documentary is the prominence I have given to the experiences of these Australian military personnel in Ceylon (now Sri Lanka). The deployment of Australian servicemen in Ceylon is one of the least known and documented periods of Australian military history in WWII.

The genesis of this documentary commenced over the last 10 years when I found many references to the thousands of Australian military personnel who served in Ceylon during WWII. Two particularly interesting quotes stood out for me. For example, Private A. Parsons of the 17th Infantry Brigade stated in 1945: Ceylon for Good Tea that sign which dominates Colombo harbour haunted us... The local customs were a source of never failing interest. Buddhism, with its weird and colourful ceremonies, was magnetic in its attractions. Their temples were grotesquely beautiful with an architecture all their own. Yes! Ceylon was interesting. In addition, Keith Ross who was a Private in the 2/6th infantry battalion remembered his time in Ceylon: We had just come from the Middle East, which was a bleak place to this place (Ceylon) that was so colourful. Beautiful birds and flowers and food and an obviously wholly civilised people, this was a good experience. I was amused by the monks. I thought the monks looked very colourful and I thought the people were friendly and I quite enjoyed my time there... Statements like these fascinated me as I was born in Sri Lanka and spent the early part of my childhood living there. However, since I have spent the better part of my life in Australia, I felt that I could strongly relate to both cultures.

My interest was again galvanized when I worked as a Senior Interviewer for the Australians at War Film Archive the world s largest film and oral history archive of its type. I had the opportunity to interview 200 war veterans, many having served in WWII.

I found the WWII generation of particular interest as they alone spoke about Ceylon with a sense of nostalgia. However, as an Australian of Sri Lankan descent with a tanned complexion, I was curious to see how the WWII generation who were brought up within the context of a White Australia Policy would react towards me. As I never encountered animosity after my first weeks of interviewing my apprehension dissolved. Time and time again I was struck by how many Australian veterans knew about Ceylon and how highly they spoke of it. Equally interesting were the stories I heard about Australian troops packed in lorries waving and yelling in their larrikin style to stunned, yet flattered Tamil women tea pickers.

As it transpired I felt in most cases it was highly advantageous to have Sri Lankan roots.
Jolyroger
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LK Information  7 May 2010 16:50:02 GMT  Report for Abuse  
My ethno-national identity became my icebreaker trump card once I engaged in a casual conversation on Ceylon over a cup of tea, cake and biscuits. I remember one particular veteran gazing at me and assertively asking, Now young man which country did you come from? knowing full well that he was probing to see whether I was of Italian origin. When I innocently told him I was born in Ceylon his response was a nostalgic, Oh Ceylon! Dark skin proved no barrier to me and frankly I relished the challenge it presented. The crucial lesson I learned was that the key out of any precarious situation with a veteran was to casually start a conversation alluding to Ceylon and it almost always worked.
The five gentlemen I interviewed, who are participants in this documentary, provided outstandingly clear and detailed recollections of their time in Ceylon. I got along with them so well that I felt more like a friend having a yarn, rather than a historian conducting a formal recorded interview.

What particularly struck me about the people I interviewed was their vivid recollections of the Sinhala language and iconic locations. For instance, Graham Palmer, who grew up in the same suburb as me in Melbourne, was formerly an officer in the 2/6th infantry battalion and still recalled how to say the word Kabaragoya, which is the Sinhala word for a monitor lizard commonly found on the island. Many of the participants also recalled their memorable visits to famous landmarks in Ceylon, which included the Galle Face Hotel, Grand Oriental Hotel, Mt. Lavinia Hotel and the historic Galle Fort.

Also, I learned that St. Peters College, my old school, was commandeered into a hospital and barracks, which was run by a medical unit of the Australian Army. In fact, Australian troops were deployed over a wide area stretching from Kalutara (fittingly was the town where my father was born in 1939), right down to Galle (my father s ancestral home or Walauwa ) and Matara, and as far inland as Avissawella. These locations were of immense strategic value as it was deemed that the Japanese were likely to land in the vulnerable south western coastal zone of Ceylon.

War in the Indian Ocean can be downloaded online as a podcast up until December 2nd from Hindsight, ABC Radio National website: http //www abc net au/rn/hindsight/stories/2008/2399200 htm See also the colourful online image gallery http //www abc net au/rn/hindsight/galleries/2008/2399200/

Sergei DeSilva-Ranasinghe

Sergei DeSilva-Ranasinghe is a Military Historian and the Director of SDR Consulting. Sergei has worked as a Senior Interviewer for the Australians at War Film Archive, and was also the Consultant Military Historian to the acclaimed documentary production, Shipwreck Detectives Series II, Vanishing Ships of War (2007). In addition, he has conducted numerous seminar presentations, published articles widely and has extensively engaged with the media.
Jolyroger
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LK Information  7 May 2010 17:07:09 GMT  Report for Abuse  
The New Great Game

Sri Lanka s foreign policy tilt away from the West has taken on a new dimension in recent years, especially since President Mahinda Rajapakse s coalition government was elected to office in November 2005. When full-scale hostilities with the LTTE commenced in July 2006, Western pressure on Sri Lanka -- specifically from the European Union and the United States -- increased markedly, with substantial reductions in aid coming amidst demands for a ceasefire and resumption of peace talks. Yet there was more to Western demands than just a push for peace -- the measures also reflected implicit Western disapproval of Sri Lanka s growing ties with China and Iran, which had been fostered not only as a means of enhancing economic growth, but also to provide a counter-weight to such pressure that ultimately gave Sri Lanka the strategic autonomy to defeat the LTTE.

Sri Lanka, confronted with the choice of economic blackmail or finding an accommodation with terrorism, had to strengthen its ties with alternative partners, Dr. Palitha Kohona, Sri Lanka s Foreign Secretary, told BBC News. Consequently, while China s importance grew, so did that of Iran , which provided soft loans and investment in major infrastructure projects such as the US$450 million Uma Oya hydroelectric project and the US$750 million upgrade of Sri Lanka s only oil refinery at Sapugaskande. In its efforts to defeat the LTTE, Sri Lanka moved to strengthen bilateral relationships with countries outside the Western axis to reduce Western political and economic pressure (which was seen as supporting the bifurcation of Sri Lanka and as largely sympathetic to the Tamil diaspora and the LTTE) while also containing India -- including pressure from Tamil Nadu -- to avoid a scenario like Operation Liberation in 1987, when India extended a lifeline and prevented the defeat of the LTTE.
Jolyroger
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LK Information  7 May 2010 17:07:52 GMT  Report for Abuse  
As the conflict drew to a close in the first half of 2009, there were a spate of diplomatic incidents that reflected growing tensions between Sri Lanka and the West. Sri Lanka rejected Britain s appointment of Des Browne as Special Envoy to Sri Lanka and declined entry to Swedish Foreign Minister Carl Bildt. In addition, a joint visit in April 2009 by British Foreign Secretary David Miliband and French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner to secure a ceasefire led to a further souring of relations. Meanwhile, in April 2009, Sri Lanka s application for a US$1.9 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund met with US resistance. We have raised questions about the IMF loan at this time. We think it is not an appropriate time to consider that until there is a resolution of the conflict, said US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton at the time.

Sri Lanka, for its part, felt that after nearly three decades of conflict, and the deaths of 100,000 people, that it had good reason to reject any developments that could have prevented the total defeat of the LTTE, something that could have occurred with Western support for a ceasefire or evacuation of the LTTE leadership. In addition, with the LTTE on the verge of defeat, there were determined attempts by the West, led by the EU, to table a resolution against Sri Lanka at the UN Security Council, a move that China and Russia vetoed on all five occasions. Following the LTTE defeat in May, the EU sought to pursue a motion against Sri Lanka for war crimes investigations at the UN Human Rights Council, which collapsed when 29 countries of the 47 member council voted in solidarity with Sri Lanka . India itself came out strongly in support of Sri Lanka at the Council and later even criticised the office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights. Commenting on Sri Lanka s diplomatic feat, Sri Lankan Ambassador to the United Nations Dayan Jayatillaka said: This is not a lesson that Sri Lanka taught the West. It is a victory... of the developing countries and the global south. It was not a defeat of the Tiger Diaspora alone. It was the defeat of a powerful bloc of forces... Geneva was a miniature diplomatic Dien Bien Phu or Bay of Pigs for the EU.
Jolyroger
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LK Information  7 May 2010 17:08:46 GMT  Report for Abuse  
The unfolding events earlier this year underscored the fact that Sri Lanka s confrontation with the West, which has seen relations plummet to their lowest point since the 1970s, has had less to do with human rights and more to do with a fierce geopolitical struggle for influence. There is little doubt that Sri Lanka s move to broaden relations with China and Iran, its rejection of Western demands in its internal affairs, the timing of its victory over the LTTE, and its acceptance in June 2009 as a Dialogue Partner to the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) were crucial in influencing the West s attempts to take punitive action against Sri Lanka - moves which served to further strengthen Sri Lanka s relations with China.

GETTING COSY WITH CHINA

Sri Lanka has generally enjoyed cordial ties with China since relations were first established with the recognition of the People s Republic of China in 1950 and the signing of the Rubber-Rice Pact in 1952. Since then, and especially in the last decade, trade between the two countries has steadily expanded, culminating in the signing of a China-Sri Lanka Joint Communique in September 2005. This served as a benchmark for future expansion of the bilateral relationship, which Gotabaya Rajapakse, Sri Lanka s Defence Secretary, recently highlighted in Lakbima News. The president went to China three times, I went five times, he said. Sometimes, the president speaks to the Chinese premier by phone. We have set up good relations. We have understood who is important to us.
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LK Information  7 May 2010 17:10:40 GMT  Report for Abuse  
These growing ties have benefitted Sri Lanka in a number of ways. For example, China was willing to supply arms to Sri Lanka at concessionary prices when India was restricted in the type of military assistance it could provide due to opposition from its state of Tamil Nadu. Also, China demonstrated an interest in investing in the development of Sri Lanka s infrastructure by providing interest-free loans and preferential loans at subsidized rates. As a result, Chinese aid and commercial investments have increased markedly throughout President Rajapakse s term, notably the Hambantota Port Development Project (worth US$1 billion) Norochcholai Coal Power Plant Project (worth US$855 million) the Colombo-Katunayake Expressway (worth US$248.2 million) and the National Performing Arts Theatre (worth US$21.2 million). Indeed, from 2006 to 2008, Chinese aid to Sri Lanka grew fivefold, replacing Japan as Sri Lanka s largest donor.

China, for its part, views Sri Lanka as a strategically vital gateway for securing access to shipping arterials in the Indian Ocean . Hambantota will be more than three times the size of Colombo harbour and is designed to serve as a Service and Industrial Port when fully completed, 14 years from now. It also has the potential to be developed into a major transhipment port. In addition, the port will be able to accommodate a new generation of mega-ships and is to include four terminals (12 berths), bunkering and refuelling facilities, liquefied natural gas refinery, aviation fuel storage facilities, bonded export processing zone and dry docks. The project is expected to generate more than 6000 jobs directly for the impoverished south of Sri Lanka , and another 50,000 indirectly in what is also President Rajapakse s home constituency. As the main symbol of growing Sino-Lanka relations, the new Hambantota port (construction of which began in January 2008) will serve as a key transit point for oil and gas tankers accessing the Red Sea, Persian Gulf, Malacca Straits and the ports of Gwadar in Pakistan and Sitwe in Myanmar. Hambantota will also serve as a key maritime transit point to China s expanding investments among Indian Ocean island nations. However, the strategic value of Hambantota and its commercial/naval potential has raised Indian suspicions of China s intentions in what it sees as its sphere of influence, and in the process has contributed to an escalating India-China rivalry.
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LK Information  7 May 2010 17:11:33 GMT  Report for Abuse  
INDIAN CONCERNS

India has long been concerned with China s increasing inroads into Sri Lanka and has demonstrated its displeasure on numerous occasions. In early 2007, Indian National Security Advisor MK Narayanan criticized Sri Lanka for attempting to purchase a Chinese built JY-11 3D radar system on the grounds that it would overarch into Indian airspace. It is high time that Sri Lanka understood that India is the big power in the region and ought to refrain from going to Pakistan or China for weapons, as we are prepared to accommodate them within the framework of our foreign policy, he said. There have also been tensions surrounding the construction of the massive Colombo South Harbour Development Project and mining rights to the Mannar Basin . But India s concerns over Chinese investment in Hambantota are not based solely on military grounds. And Sri Lanka is said to have initially offered the project to India , which declined it for undisclosed reasons. One reason may have been political and commercial considerations, and India s ambitions to upgrade its own ports in southern India , namely Vizhinjam, Tuticorin, and Cochin . Historically, there has been a fierce and longstanding rivalry between Indian and Sri Lankan ports, particularly Colombo , which dominates the region s lucrative transhipment trade.

B. Raman, a retired senior Indian intelligence official formerly affiliated with India s key external intelligence agency, the Research and Analysis Wing, is quoted as saying: Presently, the Colombo port enjoys a better reputation in international shipping circles than the ports in South India... The turn-over time for ships in Colombo is much less than in the ports of South India . The Sri Lankan authorities are worried that the Colombo port might lose the advantages presently enjoyed by it vis- -vis the ports in South India when the construction of the Sethusamudram Canal and the work of modernisation of the ports in South India undertaken by the Government of India is completed. Such views do much to put the Hambantota port issue in context - the facility will diminish India s ability to compete. India s dilemma is compounded by Sri Lanka s ambitions to harness its strategic location astride Indian Ocean shipping arterials, with Dr. Priyath Bandu Wickrama, Chairman, Sri Lanka Port Authority, noting: Over 200 ships sail this route (daily) and we want to attract them... Our vision is to consolidate the position of Sri Lanka as the premier maritime logistic centre of the Asian region.
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LK Information  7 May 2010 17:12:05 GMT  Report for Abuse  
GETTING THE BALANCE RIGHT

As Rajapakse recently stated, the end of Sri Lanka s civil war has ushered in a new era in the nation s foreign policy. But in the aftermath of the LTTE defeat, there is likely to be growing strategic rivalry between India and China , something which will also complicate Sri Lanka s relations with the West. So far, at least, Sri Lanka appears to have successfully balanced the competing interests of India and China . There are elements in America and India who would like to raise the China bogey, former Sri Lankan diplomat Jayantha Dhanapala told the Lakbima News. This is not a zero sum game where our relationship with China is at the expense of our relationship with India . We cleverly balanced the relationship. If he is right, and if Sri Lanka handles its foreign policy judiciously, the country could continue to benefit from the new Great Game in the Indian Ocean .
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