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Looking beyond Vakarai
Saturday, 30 December 2006 - 9:45 AM SL Time
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It is speculated that the government might go for an election in the Eastern Province after the capture of Vakarai, which is imminent with the area surrounded and the LTTE combatants trapped without reinforcements and supplies. In other so-called thinly held areas in the East, the LTTE will still be operating, but the military boasts that it could be tackled without much effort. If the East could be cleared as planned, then it will certainly be a turning point in the war. For, the LTTE will have no control over both the strategically important Jaffna and the East, the be-all-and-end-all of its separatist project.
In the past, too, the LTTE was driven out of the East but it managed to hold on to the vital areas of the North, especially Jaffna and mitigate the loss. The East was brought under government control decisively by President D. B. Wijetunga, who conducted the Local Government elections there in the early 1990s. President Chandrika Kumaratunga adopted the opposite of his strategy. She took back Jaffna in 1995, at the expense of the East. She, of course, had compelling reasons to wrest control of that township. The LTTE had put most of its military eggs in the Jaffna basket and gone to the extent of issuing an Eelam stamp which pointed to a move to declare independence unilaterally. She may have thought of making a swift move. She won the day.
However, the LTTE used the East, where it shifted after the fall of Jaffna, to move northwards and succeeded in marching right up to the outskirts of Jaffna in 2000, having captured the Elephant Pass base on the way. The capture of the Mullativu camp also strengthened it militarily beyond measure. Army camps were falling like pins and the LTTE grew cockier by the day. By the time the military bounced back, Ms. Kumaratunga had lost power in Parliament and the LTTE had a field day thanks to a flawed truce which it had entered with the UNF. Since 2001, it had been reorganising and rearming itself and last year it chose to revert to war.
Today, it has found itself hoist with its own petard. It may have realised that arrogance doesn`t pay, be it in politics or in warfare. It made one of its biggest blunders at Mavilaru a few months ago. It was second only to the assassination of Rajiv Gandhi. Prabhakaran proved that he was not the great military strategist that he is said to be, by taking battle to Muttur, which made a dithering government to pick up the gauntlet and fight it out. Thus, he exposed his weak flank, the East, to the military. Many thought he would desist from large scale attacks and concentrate on something political that would help gain some legitimacy for what he had painstakingly put in place by way of a `de facto` state. But, he was in a mighty hurry for reasons best known to him. He tried to take Jaffna back out of desperation, vowing to declare independence after its capture, but in vain.
So, after twenty years of fighting, instead of graduating from terror to statehood, he has had to revert to small scale terror attacks here and there. It may be that he is planning a spectacular attack but it is doubtful whether it will be able to reverse the military gains of the government, unless the latter makes more blunders of the magnitude of the Muhamalai debacle and create a situation where the LTTE will score a string of battlefield successes. Bomb blasts, assassinations and sporadic attacks will take the outfit nowhere near its goal.
If everything goes as planned, the government will be able to re-democratise the East by allowing the people to exercise their franchise. A free Eastern Province will be the biggest obstacle on the LTTE`s path to its utopian goal in that psychologically and politically, it will exert on the Northern parts under Prabhakaran`s jackboot, a tremendous pull. During President Premadasa`s time, there was a proposal to develop the Jaffna islands to such a level that `the people in the LTTE held Jaffna would want to plunge into the sea and swim across in their droves`. The strategy of the present government smacks of something similar. If it can accomplish that task of freeing the East, it will have removed the lynchpin of the LTTE`s terror project and presented a strong case for separating the East from the North.
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Joseph
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 104
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30 Dec 2006 10:41:28 GMT Report for Abuse
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Loosing Varaki
Loosing East,
Loosing to Kfirs,
Loosing to SLN,
Loosing many weapon ships,
Loosing Balasigham,
Loosing poor tamil human shields,
Loosing to international opinion,
Loosing many EU bank accounts due to freezing,
Loosing the battle to open A9,
loosing to Karuna,
Loosing cadres like flies,
Loosing to tamil opinion
Where to go now !
AT LEAST NOW OPEN YOUR EYES TO REALITY ! |
magha
Senior Member
Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 4130
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30 Dec 2006 16:46:43 GMT Report for Abuse
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Where to go now ! AT LEAST NOW OPEN YOUR EYES TO REALITY !
Do not count on the TTV (Tamil Tunnel Vision) to improve so fast since it is a disabling and progressive disease which bring their own death by Tamil Terrorism . |
mareesa03
Joined: Oct 2006
Posts: 639
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30 Dec 2006 20:42:58 GMT Report for Abuse
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Looking beyond Vakarai
People in vakarai dying in hunger and brutality of the GOSL,they are trying to talk about the election.
IC must understand how cruel is this politicians to talk about the election,when the people are dying..This is the similar story of the King of Rome Nero..
Where are the people to vote? Are they going to count the dead bodies? Instead of ballets??
Why not S.B's sons and Anrutha Ratwatta's sons to fight in Vaharai rather than fighting with ladies in Colombo hotels..lols |
sathyaji
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 328
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31 Dec 2006 15:25:46 GMT Report for Abuse
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Talking about the election means reaching the normality to the civilians and this is a fundementalright, right to determind self and not due to tortures of ltt..
People in vakarai dying in hunger and brutality of the ltt terrorists, Gosl has to free them from this tyran and secure their fundemental rights |
Revy
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Joined: Aug 2006
Posts: 7846
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31 Dec 2006 18:35:51 GMT Report for Abuse
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Sathyaj, the people in vaharai living in THEIR HOMES, were not suffering anything until the GOSL STARTED ATTACKING them and blocakding food and medicine.
This was made worse again by the GOSL chasing a further 30,000 people from Sampoor into Vaharai.
So go get a CLUE. |
AnuD
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Joined: May 2005
Posts: 11352
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1 Jan 2007 04:17:14 GMT Report for Abuse
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Editorial has given a very good point.
Pabakaran's only job was planning Attacks. But he made too worst blunders even almost after 30 years of Military planning.
Pabakaran choosed to close Mavil Oya. then he chaosed to mount an attack at Mutthur.
In both, he showed his racism, that is against sinhala people at AMvil Oya, then attack MUslim at Muttur.
I think, GOsl is following the right path. GOsl will reach the destination with patience. |
AnuD
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Joined: May 2005
Posts: 11352
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3 Jan 2007 06:11:04 GMT Report for Abuse
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| Once the East is captured GOSL Intel should investigate ther mentality of East. KAruna should prevent LTTE coming back there. |
dumindak
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Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 1818
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3 Jan 2007 06:55:23 GMT Report for Abuse
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Long live Prabhakaran. As long as he is alive we sinhalese racists dont need to worry. He will take care of Tamils.
May god save him! |
MorafiNes
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 572
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21 Jan 2007 15:23:11 GMT Report for Abuse
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| Marees..if the people of Vakarai are dying of hunger who is the cause for this catastrophe?! It is definitely your 'Saviors' - the Tigers. |
Ruwani
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Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 2537
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21 Jan 2007 15:40:48 GMT Report for Abuse
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| Is karuna this stupid to think that we are his allies? |
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