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Tiger poll boycott was to prove a point in the Tamil struggle - Balakumaran
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AnuD
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21 Nov 2005 05:30:53 GMT Report for Abuse
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Kiwikanga:
FYI:
India is also waiting. RAW is in Kilinochchi.
US is also just watching from a side.
Who knows what is going to happen.
Pakistan will not allow muslims to be slaughtered.
Sri Lanka has links with China for a along time.
Edited By - AnuD - 21 Nov 2005 05:31:26 GMT |
A,Sinnalebbe
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21 Nov 2005 05:39:25 GMT Report for Abuse
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LTTE is not the one who decides president. They are threating people and not allowed them to exercise their democratic rights. I am afraid if they were given power, how would they allow the people to ex cerise the eligible rights. This boycott emphasis that they are dictators and they will never come democratic process
Edited By - A,Sinnalebbe - 21 Nov 2005 05:50:38 G |
anizam
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21 Nov 2005 05:46:52 GMT Report for Abuse
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Pera:
Still intoxicated by the LTTE sponcered victory ha?? :) enjoy my friend enjoy because reality will hit sooner than you think. enjoy the following article by one of our highly respected diplomats :) :)
U need brains to run a country. Not the ability to 'clap' to the beat! :) :) Praba is laughing at you people through his A*SS....
The new government and the ethnic problem
By K. Godage
Has the LTTE pulled off another victory? Would their so-called ?victory? turnout to be a pyrrhic one?
In an article published after the now President Mahinda Rajapakse concluded agreements with the JVP and the JHU I referred to the long planned strategy of the LTTE and quoted Balasingham who had said, ?Our best allies are the JVP and the JHU?---The perceptive Balasingham could not have said a truer word for they wanted to ensure a polarization of forces which they could not achieve with a Ranil Wickremasinghe administration. The LTTE?s strategy all along was to ensure, rather than Ranil, that Mahinda became President (the TNA was informed of this some months ago). Ranil to them has been a formidable proposition for he had not only a structured approach to the peace process but had also been able to mobilize the international community.
Even more importantly he had obtained a commitment from the international community to hold the LTTE to the matter of ?exploring a federal solution within a united Sri Lanka,? which the LTTE seems determined to avoid for their goal remains a separate state. This was the one and only reason why they prevented the Tamil people from voting for Ranil. This tactic has ensured the polarization they sought and would help them to make the charge that the Sinhalese would not concede anything to the Tamil people and that their struggle for a separate state is justified.
This is indeed the challenge that faces the new President; to prove to the Tamil people and the international community that though he may have been elected through a Sinhalese Buddhist vote he is committed to a fair and just settlement of the ethnic problem. He has indeed the capacity and the ability to do so for as his career indicates, he has indeed achieved whatever he sought to achieve despite the odds.
It has been reported that a LTTE document circulated amongst the Tamil Diaspora in Europe states that a Mahinda victory would be entirely satisfactory to further their march towards the realization of Eelam. Their position simply stated is that Mahinda is a prisoner of the JVP and the JHU and would not be able to concede anything to the Tamil people; (Statements made by JVP and JHU leaders have been appended to the document) and that the LTTE could strengthen its position on the ground in the peninsula in the near future and then declare UDI and explain to the international community that they were compelled to take this course of action in the light of a hard line Sinhala racist government coming into Colombo which left them without any hope.
The diaspora is requested to prepare their lobbyists to make the point that the LTTE was compelled to take this course of action in the light of the above mentioned situation and the continued intransigence of the governments in the South, who have consistently refused to concede the rights of the Tamil people over the past 50 years.
The document, it is said, states that Mahinda is wholly ignorant of Tamil aspirations and that he nor his supporters understand the fundamentals of the problem and their perspective on the issue of Tamil rights is wholly at variance with reality (there is an element of truth in this for Minister Premjayant recently referred to the Tamils as a ?Minority?, they claim they are a Nation and not a national minority). The document refers to the fact that unlike Ranil Wickremesinghe, Mahinda has no experience in dealing with the international community and describes him as a novice and that he would not be able to mobilize international support as Wickremesinghe did and that this augurs well for them. A reference is made to the fact that the 'absence' of Lakshman Kadirgamar leaves the door open for the Diaspora to campaign effectively.
It appears doubtful as to whether the new government already has a plan, which they intend to put before the LTTE and the people. It has been reported that they had been interested in the Aceh Agreement brokered by the Fins but that Agreement gives the Indonesian province of Aceh a measure of autonomy somewhat similar to the ISGA.
At other times it has been said that they seek a solution based on the Indian model, which incidentally involves a sharing of power with the constituent states. It was indeed the Indian model that was written into the 13th Amendment; the problem there was that the Concurrent list in the 13th Amendment in a sense nullified the devolution. If the new government wishes to obtain India?s support they would then need to move forward from the 13th Amendment; that has to be the road map. In this regard they would do well to study the Mangala Moonesinghe report and use that and the 13th Amendment as a starting point.
Is the JVP and JHU aware that with the 13th Amendment to the Constitution initiated by India in the form of Annexure C and enshrined in the Indo-Lanka Accord, we have commenced an irreversible process of devolution of power. The so-called ?sanctity? attached to the concept identified as ?Unitary? has, for better or for worse, long been eroded. Whether we like it or not there are indeed more federal states including India than unitary states in the world today.
President Rajapakse would now have to put his election rhetoric behind him and face reality. Though they in their Manifesto stated that they would re-negotiate the CFA and the P-TOMS they must now face reality and accept that these Agreements cannot be re-negotiated. Yes the CFA was no ?agreement? it was an imposition but what makes the parties to the Manifesto think that they can accomplish the following; ?the said Agreement (the CFA) shall be revived and revised fully and the said agreement shall be redone removing and eliminating all the clauses that are prejudicial and harmful to national security??.? What would be the strategy of the government for doing this? Is it the belief of the JVP and the JHU that our Armed services could get the LTTE to yield? That certainly is a laugh. The LTTE would never agree, what then would or could the new government do? Go to war? The immense power of the LTTE over the Tamil people was amply demonstrated when they intimidated them and they refrained from participating in the Presidential election; they are not to be underestimated. The CFA can certainly be improved upon but then who would bell the cat?
The new government has also created another problem for themselves by wanting the Norwegians out. I cannot think of any country that would want to take on this thankless task, certainly it would not be India which has proscribed the LTTE and would not hence be able to have any dealings with them. Yes the Norwegians have not been honest brokers but where can you find a replacement for them? As stated earlier, India cannot and will not get involved in any exercise that would be frowned upon by the political parties in Tamil Nadu, we have to live with that fact. As for the UN, the matter of a meaningful involvement would have to be endorsed by the Security Council on the basis that there is a threat to international peace and security, short of that the SG could nominate, as he has done, a representative to make an assessment of the situation.
The ideal situation would be if the SG is able to obtain the sanction of the SC to appoint a person of the caliber of Richard Holbrook (to do what he did in Bosnia with the support of the US) or Richard Armitage also with the support of the US government to intercede and undertake a ?John Mitchell? type operation but it is absolutely unlikely that any government of Mr. Rajapakse would have the capacity to work with the international community to pull off a thing like that.
The problem here is that those who forged the Manifesto did not have the benefit of being briefed on the peace process by any knowledgeable person. In keeping with his stated intention to make the process inclusive, President Rajapakse and his team should invite Prof. GL Peiris and Milinda Moragoda who were associated in talks with the LTTE and Jayantha Dhanapala to brief them. It is in the country?s interest that the new government be fully briefed on the situation. They would also need to be briefed by the Service Chiefs, the DFI and the DII on the internal and external dimensions of the issue. They cannot come to decisions without all the facts and on the basis of prejudice --- too much is at stake and they cannot be allowed to make stupid mistakes that would result in others paying with their lives.
If the new government takes a hard line and tries to implement their election rhetoric they would not only be playing right into the hands of the LTTE but would lead this country into a huge disaster.
A few other matters need to be referred to; Clause 2 of the Agreement between the JVP and President Rajapakse stated that they would hold negotiations ?not only with the LTTE but also with all other relevant parties??..? . In principle this is certainly correct but the LTTE will never sit at the same table with the others. We cannot also ignore the fact that it is they who control territory and is the principal enemy not the others. The only way to involve ?all other relevant parties ? is to have separate parallel discussions with them but the LTTE may not come to the negotiating table if the government also has parallel negotiations with the other groups. What then can the government of President Rajapakse then do?
A person sorely missed today is Lakshman Kadirgamar. Had he been alive he would have explained to them that their positions are unrealistic. The government must be briefed on the importance of the international community in this conflict and the role that it has played. The Marxist JVP must be briefed on the international situation today by the able Foreign Secretary G.S. Pallihakkara and his team.
They must in particular understand why it is absolutely necessary for this country to have the closest of relations with the US and Europe and the total dependence of the garment industry on the US and the EU and that hundreds of thousands of jobs are at stake if we cross them. In this regard the new government should understand that China is our principal competitor when it comes to the export of garments. Whilst we should cultivate the closest of relations with the countries of Asia we should not forget that the markets for our products are in the west, neither should we forget that investment and technology comes essentially from the west as do our tourists.
In conclusion I wish to remind the new government that in the period after the ceasefire ?the period of relative peace resulted in the break-up of the LTTE, and the LTTE would no doubt be having problems with keeping their battle-trained cadres in tact; nothing would help the LTTE to mobilize, motivate and reinvigorate their cadres than a hard line position by Sinhala hard-liners in the south.
We are indeed giving the LTTE the excuse they are waiting nay yearning for. In any event the international community is tired of what they perceive to be Sinhala intransigence and would rather help the LTTE to achieve Eelam unless we move quickly to address the grievances of the Tamil people and ensure that they too live as equal citizens with dignity and in security and be able to decide on their own destiny to the furthest possible extent compatible with the security of everyone else in a united country where they feel a sense of belonging.
Edited By - anizam - 21 Nov 2005 05:48:49 GMT |
AnuD
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21 Nov 2005 05:55:40 GMT Report for Abuse
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AniZAm:
If you accept what the opposition or the enemy say you lose.
You need to here what they say. You need to watch what they do.
We only learn from that.
But, You should carry out your plan and the plan compatible or competing to them. WE can not compete with them. But outsmart them. LTTE is losing believe me.
K. Godage and all these journalists are talking B...S..
Why do you think Ranil lost. It was his own fault. You, indirectly proved in your postings that Ranil a incompetant leader.
Ranil was listening to mental retards who had thier own agenda. Ranil should have heard them but not listened to them.
I think ANizam is a jouranlist writing B..S.
Edited By - AnuD - 21 Nov 2005 06:07:43 GMT |
Poruthotage67
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21 Nov 2005 06:51:47 GMT Report for Abuse
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Dear all,
LTTE wanted to achieve two main objectives in the recent presidential election.
1. They wanted Ranil to win, so they could have a free ride to achieve their goals.
2. At the same time, they wanted to show the world that they are in control of the uncleared areas.
The best way to achieve both was to plan a selective boycott and they did as planned. LTTE tried their best to support Ranil. If free and fair elections were conducted in North and East, Mahinda would have won with another 100,000 majority votes. Jaffna is the main vote bank for EPDP and TULF. After the recent killings including two popular high school principals, the situation could have been even worse for the LTTE in the Jaffna district. The result of the 1999 presidential election gives an insight in to the real reasons for the selective LTTE boycott of North and East votes.
-THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION OF 1999
Electoral Registered Voters PA UNP
District
JAFFNA 612,770 52,043 48,005
46.65% 43.03%
BATTICALOA 270,197 58,975 104,100
34.66% 61.19%
VANNI 205,541 16,202 43,803
25.84% 69.87%
DIGAMADULLA 343,809 149,593 109,805
55.59% 40.80%
Based on the previous voting patterns , Ranil could not have defeated Mahinda even if LTTE allowed the vote to take place in the Jaffna instead of calling for a boycott.
THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION OF 2005
Electoral Registered Voters UPFA UNP
District
JAFFNA 701,938
BATTICALOA 318,728 28,836 121,514
18.87% 79.51%
VANNI 250,386 17,197 65,798
20.36% 77.89%
DIGAMADULLA 396,453 122,329 159,198
42.88% 55.81%
UNP received fewer votes in Jaffna and relatively more vote in the Baticaloa District (now Karuna's control) in the 1999 presidential election. Therefore, it is clear they did the selective boycott to support Ranil but LTTE's optimal manipulation has also failed to ensure a Ranil's victory.
I have adopted some statistics from an article written by D. Senanayake published in Lanka Web.
Edited By - Poruthotage67 - 21 Nov 2005 08:05:26 |
Pera
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21 Nov 2005 07:03:04 GMT Report for Abuse
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Anizam,
Crying fowl and wolf!! No a madayan Godage also brought in??? Just go to any conspiracy web sites to see the pranoya of people...then you will understand.
FYI: You prdicted Ranil's win. Your man lost. Period.
Rest of the story, we shall work out later. Perhaps when UNP appoints Karu as their leader tommorow.
Cheers |
kuru
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21 Nov 2005 07:17:50 GMT Report for Abuse
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Anizam,
Please accept defeat as a gentleman.
The PINGONNA (the name you refered to Mahinda) has defeated your God Leader Ranil and is the President of Sri Lanka.
So now we know who is the actual PINGONNA ...is it Mahinda or the people who called him with filthy names.
When you sling mud at people for nothing , the same mud will return you.
I don't feel sorry for people who had thrown mud ,because at least those people were paid and have the money with them, but for people who had spent money for this.
They had spent , thinking, that, they would get them, in double or trible when ranil returns to power..
But now who would give them ????????????? |
Rapaport
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21 Nov 2005 07:49:38 GMT Report for Abuse
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| LTTE 'forced' Boycott + Rajapakse Victory = LTTE EU BAN! |
mohandev
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21 Nov 2005 08:02:50 GMT Report for Abuse
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| What nonsense, LTTE was clearely fooled by Ranil. He only wanted LTTE support to come to power in 2001. But this time as usual RW oversetimated the tigers & they beat him not Mahinda. |
muniraj16
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21 Nov 2005 08:23:46 GMT Report for Abuse
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Now the dumb butchers are coming up with excuses for the dumbest mistake that they did...heheheheh...
and the sad part is still the UNP bootlickers seems to be in desperation ...toooo bad...
frustrated with the consecutive defeats???then come out with some one and some thing new...
'INSANITY: DOING THE SAME THING OVER AND OVER AGAIN AND EXPECTING DIFFERENT RESULTS .'
-- Albert Einstein
SO WAKE UP UNP BOOTLICKERS AND UNDERSTAND THE REALITY...
Chao...
Edited By - muniraj16 - 21 Nov 2005 08:24:40 GMT |
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